by GK Strategy 13th November, 2014
3 min read

6 Months To Go

Last week saw a relentless media onslaught highlighting mutiny and treason within the Labour Party but today Ed Miliband hit back at his critics proclaiming he’s the man for the job. It’s not surprising the media are happily lapping it up, the polls haven’t exactly made easy reading for Labour recently – the latest IPSOS MORI poll had the Labour leader’s popularity at the same level as that of Gordon Brown at his departure from Number 10. But the question on everybody’s lips is will all this hype actually materialise into an overwhelming defeat for Labour, or are an increasingly centre-right media enjoying a feeding frenzy at Miliband’s expense?

If the polls are anything to go by, in the words of Wallace and Gromit, it’ll be a close shave. Lord Ashcroft has Labour only one point ahead and even generous polls have Labour’s lead at 3 points. Perhaps the more interesting side-line is the predominance of peripheral parties. It’s quite possible that following the all-nighter that is a General Election, it could be the periphery that holds the real power in making and forming a majority government. Farage in the Cabinet? Sturgeon as Deputy PM? These are all real possibilities. The likelihood of this happening however, isn’t quite as farfetched as it may seem. UKIP’s 12 target seats genuinely could translate into real power for the Nationalist Party and then it’ll be Farage having a hair-of-the-dog celebratory pint whilst others are left licking their wounds. So whilst all the media attention is on Labour, perhaps we should stop and think who really will fare worse at the General Election. Miliband may have had a rough week, but it’s not his party that are set to lose the most votes to other parties…

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